PSR - Survey Research Unit: Public Opinion Poll # 11 Poll 4 English
 
Results of Poll # (11)

 

14-17 March 2004

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

01) Current Prime Minister, Abu Alaí, promised that we would work during his tenure on achieving the following four objectives. Tell us, in your opinion, was he able or was not he able to achieve what he promised so far:

01-1 Eliminate internal anarchy and absence of security

1) Was able to a large extent

0.9

0.7

1.2

2) Was able somewhat

18.6

19.1

17.8

3) Was not able

44.55

48.3

38.2

4) Was not able at all

30.3

25.1

39.0

5) No opinion/do not know

5.7

6.8

3.8

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

1-2 Prepare for elections in mid 2004

1) Was able to a large extent

1.4

1.6

1.2

2) Was able somewhat

19.9

20.3

19.2

3) Was not able

43.1

45.8

38.8

4) Was not able at all

21.4

17.4

28.1

5) No opinion/do not know

14.2

15.0

12.7

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

01-3 Carry out wide ranging political reforms

1) Was able to a large extent

1.5

1.2

2.0

2) Was able somewhat

23.0

20.4

27.5

3) Was not able

43.9

49.2

35.2

4) Was not able at all

25.4

22.3

30.5

5) No opinion/do not know

6.1

6.9

4.8

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

01-4 Return to the peace process with Israel

1) Was able to a large extent

2.1

1.8

2.6

2) Was able somewhat

22.1

21.1

23.6

3) Was not able

44.7

49.3

37.0

4) Was not able at all

26.3

22.0

33.5

5) No opinion/do not know

4.9

5.8

3.2

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

02) In your opinion, should Abu Alaí and his government or should not they resign?

1) They should resign

39.2

37.0

42.8

2) They should not resign

47.0

49.1

43.4

3) No opinion/do not know

13.9

13.9

13.7

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

03) Regarding the prevailing internal anarchy, some say the reason for it is a failure on the part of the security services and political leadership to carry out their responsibility to maintain law and order while others say the Israeli occupation is to blame for it. In your opinion, who is more responsible for the internal anarchy?

1) The failure of the security services and leadership

24.5

22.1

28.7

2) Israeli occupation

62.7

65.8

57.6

3) Others, specify-------

11.7

11.0

12.7

4 no opinion/do not know

1.1

1.1

1.0

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

04) The Palestinian Authority had been engaged in a dialogue with Hamas and other factions in an attempt to reach an agreement on a hudna whereby use of arms against Israelis would stop in return for an Israeli commitment to stop using arms against the Palestinians. Do you support or oppose such a hudna?

1) Strongly support

16.2

14.1

19.7

2) Support

54.2

55.9

51.5

3) Oppose

20.5

21.0

19.7

4) Strongly oppose

7.3

6.9

7.9

5) No opinion/ Donít know

1.8

2.2

1.2

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

05) Internal Palestinian dialogue between the PA and the opposition groups and factions, such as Hamas, Islamic Jihad and others, to reach a ceasefire agreement or a hudna has ended in failure. In your opinion, who is responsible for this failure?

1) The PA

17.3

16.2

19.0

2) Opposition groups and factions

11.3

11.9

10.3

3) Both

36.7

36.8

36.4

4) Neither

28.1

27.9

28.5

5) No opinion/ Donít know

6.7

7.2

5.9

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

06) Some suggest conducting parliamentary and presidential elections under the present conditions while others see the need to postpone these elections until there is a ceasefire agreement and an Israeli withdrawal from Palestinian cities and towns. What view do you support?

1) I support conducting elections now, under the current conditions

26.9

25.8

24.2

2) I support conducting elections after the Israeli withdrawal

69.7

67.4

73.5

3) No opinion/do not know

3.4

4.1

2.2

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

07) Recently, Sharon has announced a disengagement plan from the Palestinians. According to this plan Israel will evacuate most settlements in the Gaza strip and a small number of settlements in the West Bank. In your opinion will this plan increase the chances for a settlement with Israel, decrease the chances for a settlement or will not have any effect on the chances for a settlement?

1) Increase the chances for a settlement

32.0

30.9

33.9

2) Decrease the chances for a settlement

24.4

24.5

24.0

3) Will not have any effect

38.8

39.5

37.6

4) DK/NA

4.9

5.1

4.4

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

08) Do you welcome or do not welcome Sharon's disengagement program which proposes to evacuate most settlements from Gaza strip and a small number of settlements in the West Bank?

1 Definitely welcome

29.2

21.5

42.0

2 welcome

43.7

46.0

40.0

3 do not welcome

18.5

22.7

11.6

4 Definitely do not welcome

7.4

8.4

5.7

5 DK/NA

1.2

1.5

0.8

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

09-1) Of the following goals which one in your opinion is Sharon's most important goal in his decision to declare the disengagement plan to evacuate most settlements in Gaza and a few in the West Bank?

1) To push Palestinians toward internal fighting in Gaza

36.9

33.5

42.4

2) To maintain the Jewish majority in Israel

21.6

23.0

19.4

3) To strengthen Israel's control of the West Bank in return for the concessions in Gaza

29.2

28.7

30.1

4) To intimidate Palestinian leadership with loss of power to opposition parties

9.5

11.2

6.7

5) DK/NA

2.8

3.6

1.4

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

09-2 And which one is Sharon's second most important goal in declaring his disengagementplan

1) To push Palestinians toward internal fighting in Gaza

24.5

23.0

27.0

2) To maintain the Jewish majority in Israel

24.1

25.5

21.7

3) To strengthen Israel's control of the West Bank in return for the concessions in Gaza

33.4

31.2

37.0

4) To intimidate Palestinian leadership with loss of power to opposition parties

15.5

17.0

13.1

5) DK/NA

2.5

3.3

1.2

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

09-3 And Sharon's third most important goal?

1) To push Palestinians toward internal fighting in Gaza

20.8

21.7

19.2

2) To maintain the Jewish majority in Israel

24.6

20.2

32.1

3) To strengthen Israel's control of the West Bank in return for the concessions in Gaza

21.9

22.6

20.7

4) To intimidate Palestinian leadership with loss of power to opposition parties

28.3

30.4

24.7

5) DK/NA

4.4

5.1

3.2

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

10) Do you see Sharon's plan to evacuate the Israeli settlements from Gaza as a victory for the Palestinian armed resistance against Israel or don't you see it as a victory?

1) Definitely this is a victory

37.6

32.2

46.8

2) I think that this is a victory

28.2

30.0

25.3

3) I think this is not a victory

23.7

26.5

19.2

4) Definitely this is not a victory

8.3

8.5

8.1

5) DN/NA

2.0

2.9

0.6

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

11) And how do you think most Palestinians see Sharon's plan? Do most Palestinians see it or don't see it as a victory for their armed struggle?

1. Most Palestinians see it as a victory for their armed struggle

67.9

64.0

74.4

2. Most Palestinians don't see it as a victory for their armed struggle

26.4

28.9

22.2

3. DK/NA

5.7

7.0

3.5

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

12) And how do you think most Israelis see Sharon's plan? Do most Israelis see it or don't see it as a victory for the Palestinians?

1) Most Israelis see it as a victory for the Palestinians

44.2

42.8

46.6

2) Most Israelis don't see it as a victory for the Palestinians

47.9

48.0

47.8

3) DK/NA

7.8

9.1

5.7

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

13) Do you think that Sharon is serious and will indeed withdraw from the Gaza strip as he says, or he is not serious in his statement and will not withdraw?

1) Definitely will withdraw

10.0

8.5

12.5

2) Think he will withdraw

23.7

25.6

20.6

3) Think he will not withdraw

35.0

35.6

33.9

4) Definitely he will not withdraw

25.9

25.0

27.5

5) DK/NA

5.4

5.3

5.5

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

14) Do you prefer to see the Palestinian Authority and Israel negotiating the Israeli withdrawal from the Strip, or do you prefer to see Israel withdrawing unilaterally without negotiations?

1) I definitely prefer to see the PA and Israel negotiating the withdrawal

35.4

30.9

42.8

2) I think it is preferable to see the PA and Israel negotiating the withdrawal

22.4

23.3

21.0

3) I think it is preferable to see Israel unilaterally withdrawing without negotiations

21.1

22.7

18.4

4) I definitely prefer to see Israel unilaterally withdrawing without negotiations

17.1

18.0

15.8

5) DK/NA

3.9

5.1

2.0

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

15) Do you think Israel should negotiate its withdrawal from the Gaza strip also with Hamas?

1) Definitely yes

13.1

11.2

16.2

2) Yes

27.8

31.3

22.0

3) No

38.4

39.6

36.4

4) Definitely no

15.3

11.3

22.0

5) Donít Know /No answer

5.4

6.6

3.4

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

16) And what about Hamas, do you think it should accept or reject to negotiate with Israel regarding Israeli withdrawal?

1) Hamas should definitely accept

8.2

8.0

8.5

2) Hamas should accept

34.8

34.5

35.4

3) Hamas should reject

37.2

38.0

36.0

4) Hamas should definitely reject

12.5

11.0

14.9

5) Do not know/ no opinion

7.3

8.5

5.3

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

17) And what about the majority of Palestinians? Do most Palestinians think that Hamas should also negotiate with Israel the Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza strip or most Palestinians don't think so?

1) Most Palestinians think so

35.8

35.2

36.8

2) Most Palestinians don't think so

52.5

51.8

53.7

3) DK/NA

11.7

13.1

9.5

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

18) If Hamas accepted to negotiate with Israel, do you think this would mean a change in the principled positions of the movement toward Israel and the recognition of Israel?

1. Definitely yes

23.8

20.6

29.1

2. Yes

31.6

33.1

29.1

3. No

30.6

31.2

28.5

4. Definitely no

9.2

9.2

9.1

5. Donít Know /No answer

4.9

5.8

3.2

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

19) Do you think an Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip will decrease the armed attacks against Israel from the Gaza Strip, increase the armed attacks against Israel from the Gaza Strip, or will have no impact on armed attacks against Israel

1) Increase the armed attacks

30.0

31.7

27.3

2) Decrease the armed attacks

41.2

36.3

49.3

3) Have no impact on armed attacks

24.0

26.3

20.0

4) DK/NA

4.9

5.7

3.4

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

20) After Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip, what do you propose to do with the evacuated settlements?

1) Demolish them

12.5

14.1

9.9

2) Give homes in settlement to those whose homes have been demolished by Israel

54.3

56.1

51.3

3) Give homes in settlements to refugees

21.5

21.7

21.2

4) Other, specify ------

9.0

5.5

14.9

5) No opinion/ Donít know

2.7

2.7

2.6

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

21) The Palestinian side has gone to the International Court of Justice to fight the separation wall. Do you think the ICJ will be neutral, biased in favor of the Palestinians or biased in favor of the Israelis?

1) Neutral

25.5

26.8

23.2

2) Biased in favor of the Palestinian side

7.7

7.0

8.9

3) Biased in favor of the Israeli side

60.8

61.2

60.2

4) DK/NA

6.0

5.0

7.7

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

22) Do you think the separation wall being built by Israel in the West Bank will decrease the number of armed attacks inside Israel, increase the number of armed attacks or will have no impact?

1) Increase the number of armed attacks

55.4

52.7

59.8

2) Decrease the number of armed attacks

18.4

20.0

15.8

3) Will have no impact

24.8

25.9

22.8

4) Donít Know /No answer

1.4

1.3

1.6

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

23) And what about the majority of Israelis. Do most Israelis think or don't think that the separation wall will decrease, increase or will have no impact on the number of armed attacks inside Israel?

1) Most Israelis think it will increase the armed attacks

19.6

19.4

20.0

2) Most Israelis think it will increase the armed attacks

68.0

69.2

66.1

3) Most Israelis think it will not have an impact on the armed attacks

8.7

8.0

9.9

4) Donít Know /No answer

3.6

3.4

4.0

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

24) There are several ways and means to fight the separation wall. If you want to choose the ways and means that have a chance of succeeding in demolishing it, you would choose:

1) Going to the ICJ

11.2

10.2

12.9

2) Popular unarmed demonstrations

9.6

11.4

6.5

3) Reaching a ceasefire and returning to the peace process

26.8

27.2

26.3

4) Continuation of armed confrontations and bombings inside Israel

40.0

36.4

45.9

5) Continuation of armed confrontations but without bombings inside Israel

7.6

9.1

5.1

6) Others, specify ------

4.9

5.7

3.4

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

25) What about the prisoners exchange between Israel and Hizballah? Who came out a winner: Israel or Hizballah? (don't read response options)

1) Israel

8.6

8.7

8.3

2) Hizballah

80.2

82.7

76.0

3) Both

6.8

4.6

10.3

4) Neither

2.0

2.3

1.4

5) DK/NA

2.5

1.6

4.0

 

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